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Taking stock of USD pessimism

Date: 13/06/2025

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Outlook

The US dollar stands at a potentially pivotal juncture. In this research note, we examine the structural drivers behind dollar strength, review the factors behind its recent decline, and evaluate …

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Market commentary – May 2025

Date: 11/06/2025

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Market Commentary

China-US Truce Temporarily Boosts Dollar, but “Big Beautiful Bill” Raises Fiscal Perils Overall USD pessimism continued into May, underpinned by slow progress on trade deals, rising fiscal risks and a …

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Market commentary – April 2025

Date: 09/05/2025

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Market Commentary

Key Themes Driving Currency Markets “Liberation Day” Shock Sinks Dollar At the start of April, President Trump delivered a long-awaited address regarding reciprocal tariffs. “Liberation Day” brought forth a 10% …

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Record Global Currency Commentary – Q1 2025

Date: 24/04/2025

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Outlook

In our quarterly commentary we take a detailed look at the drivers of developed and emerging markets currencies over the quarter, and share our analysis of events that may impact …

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Market commentary – March 2025

Date: 08/04/2025

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Market Commentary

Weight of Uncertainty Sinks USD U.S trade policy and the global response to tariffs were a primary FX driver in March, but the focus on tariffs was less singular this …

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Market commentary – February 2025

Date: 12/03/2025

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Market Commentary

Uneven tariff talk and weaker outlook weigh on USD tariffs remained front and centre throughout February as markets re-evaluated the credibility of Trump’s threats. Following the postponement of tariffs on …

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