Turkey’s Currency Crisis Series: Part One (of Two) – The Impact on the Turkish Economy
- Date: 10/10/2018
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- Canberk Yalcin
The Turkish lira came to the forefront of investor attention in August 2018, having at one stage depreciated more than 40% in spot terms against a basket of G4 currencies. This is the largest depreciation seen in our Record EM Currency universe since the sell-off of the Russian rouble in….
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A Framework for Assessing the Outlook for EM Currencies
- Date: 31/08/2018
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- Joe Spearing
The case for investing in emerging market currencies remains strong, despite the recent volatility. A combination of rising US rates, concerns about the stability of the global trading system and local political turmoil have generated headwinds for EM currencies. However, the recent sell-off has considerably boosted return expectations given the….
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Sky-High Equity Valuations Here to Stay?
- Date: 29/05/2018
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- Jeremy Chalder, CFA
After a steep rally at the beginning of the year, followed by weeks of market turmoil, some investors are increasingly concerned that we may have witnessed the formation of a US equity bubble, perhaps on the verge of bursting. But these fears are likely exaggerated. While valuations are indeed at….
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G4 vs Emerging Markets: Where Are We in the Economic Cycle?
- Date: 20/03/2018
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- Jeremy Chalder, CFA
In 2017, we saw a broad-based cyclical upswing in global growth, driven in part by emerging economies. After nearly a decade in decline, the growth gap between emerging markets and developed markets is rising once more, but where is each group in its respective economic cycle? Using a range of….
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