Crisis-Proof Currency Exposures
- Date: 05/06/2019
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- Andrew Bloomfield, CFA
The increased nervousness among market participants over the past week is palpable. The prospect of an expanding trade war is back on the table, the US yield curve is perilously close to a much-feared inversion, invoking calls for Fed easing later this year, and the European Commission just released its pessimistic excessive….
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Swedish Krona Outlook
- Date: 03/04/2019
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- Canberk Yalcin
The Swedish krona had a tough start to the year having depreciated over 5% against a basket of G4 currencies. This blog post outlines the outlook for the krona with an emphasis on its valuation versus G10 currencies, macroeconomic performance, external balances and the Riksbank’s policy trajectory. Potential upside and….
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Insights from Central Banks’ FX Turnover Data
- Date: 14/03/2019
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- Canberk Yalcin
FX turnover data, published by the central banks of six main FX jurisdictions, provides useful information on the size and the structure of FX activity. The size of the FX market increased by 11% compared to the previous year. NDFs (non-deliverable forwards) appeared to gain in popularity amongst FX market….
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Trade, Trump and Stability of the Chinese Yuan
- Date: 05/03/2019
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- Andrew Bloomfield, CFA
The concept of stability in the Chinese currency has been of great interest to investors, especially since the introduction of the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) preferred measure of CNY strength, the ‘CFETS index’. As it stands, the official stance of Chinese policymakers is to manage the bilateral exchange rate….
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